Claims about signal accuracy are easy to make and hard to check. The way to check them is to keep a complete record yourself. This tool lets you log each signal as a would-have-won or would-have-lost, then shows the hit rate, a 95% range for the true rate and the break-even rate at the payout you enter. Use it on a demo account or on paper, not with money.
Signal Result Tracker
Log every signal you receive, including the ones you skipped, judged on a demo account or on paper. A hit rate from a few signals says little, and the 95% range shows how wide the doubt is. Entries are not saved.
How to Use This Tool
- Enter the payout you would have received on a typical signal.
- After each signal expires, add a note and select would have won or would have lost. Log every signal, including ones you would have skipped.
- Read the hit rate and the range. Compare the break-even rate with the range.
What the Numbers Mean
The hit rate is the share of signals that would have won. The 95% range uses the Wilson score interval, a standard way of showing how uncertain a proportion is when the sample is small. If the break-even rate lies inside the range, your sample cannot yet tell the signals apart from break-even. With few signals the range is wide, so a high hit rate over twenty signals is weak evidence.
Break-even depends on the payout: 1 divided by (1 plus the payout as a decimal), about 55.6% at 80%. A source that is right 55% of the time can still lose money at a low payout. Read signal accuracy explained and strategy sample size and statistical significance for why this matters.
Log honestly. Dropping missed or ignored signals inflates the rate, which is also how marketing figures are produced. If a source will not let you track every signal in real time, treat its claims as unproven. See the signal provider verification guide and the red flags checklist.
Limits
This page uses only the numbers you type in. It does not fetch prices, payouts or schedules, it does not know your platform, and its output is not advice or a prediction. Check your platform's own terms and test any plan on a demo account first.
Frequently Asked Questions
Should I trade real money while tracking?
Tracking is meant for demo or paper results, so you can judge a source before risking money.
How many signals do I need?
More is better. Watch how the range narrows as you add results.
Why log signals I would have skipped?
Leaving them out would make the record look better than it is.
Is my log saved?
No. Download the CSV to keep it.